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NDCMP Weather Forecast

	District 1					District 2
Transition (UTC)		4		15			0		15
	First		Second		Third	First		Second		Third
Forecasted Weather	NO SIG		RAIN		NO SIG	RAIN		RAIN		NO SIG

Forecaster: Lynnlee Rosolino

Synopsis

Western North Dakota is still sitting under an upper level ridge, however the surface high pressure system has moved East and a line of surface low pressure systems are now migrating into both districts. This could bring some rain to both districts, especially in the morning when dewpoints are expected to be high. Some CAPE is also expected to move into both districts in the morning which could aid in convective development, however the values are pretty low, so without a major forcing significant weather is not expected. Both districts are in a slight PVA region of a jet streak, which could allow for some rising motion, enhancing chances for convection, however the timing of this region doen't align with the timing of CAPE values moving in. Some vorticity and a shortwave are also expected to move through both districts in the early morning hours, slightly before the arrival of dewpoints and CAPE. Storms could develop if all three of these conditions occur at the same time, but this is not looking incredibly likely. Overall, rain is expected today, but convection is not as likely.